With Democrats’ chances of maintaining control in the House all but dashed, the party has little choice but to focus on key Senate and gubernatorial races in a handful of states where they hope to withstand an anticipated “red wave.”
But it’s not the current president who’s in demand in those crucial battlegrounds. With one week until the midterms, Mr. Biden is expected to steer clear of crucial Senate races in Arizona and Nevada, where Mr. Obama was called in to make the party’s closing arguments.
Democratic strategist Hank Sheinkopf agreed that Mr. Biden struggles with voters, especially on the economy.
“What it shows is as the incumbent president he has some problems,” he said. “Biden carries negatives that Obama does not. The trick here is to get the Democratic base to turn out, and that’s part of the problem. In the states where Democrats are not doing well or should be doing better, the base is not energized. Barack Obama’s job is to energize that base.”
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“Democrats have no choice,” he added. “They must win Georgia. They need to try to hold on to Nevada and Arizona.”
Over the weekend, Mr. Obama held a rally in Georgia to campaign for the party’s gubernatorial nominee, Stacy Abrams, and incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock who is locked in a tight race with Republican Herschel Walker.
Mr. Obama then headed to Michigan to campaign for Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, whose lead against Republican challenger Tudor Dixon hangs in the balance, and Wisconsin to bolster support for Gov. Tony Evers and Senate hopeful Mandela Barnes, who are in toss-up races.
Mr. Obama is expected to hold rallies later this week for struggling Democratic incumbent Sens. Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada and John Kelly in Arizona.
The former president’s well-attended rallies alongside Democrats in tough races stand in stark contrast to Mr. Biden’s campaign schedule.
He has made several stops in the midterm battleground of Pennsylvania, where he was born and which he treats as a surrogate home state despite living in Delaware. Other than that, he’s concentrated his visits on Democratic strongholds such as New York and Maryland. On a recent swing through the West, he rallied voters in Colorado, California and Oregon, bypassing Nevada and Arizona.
Democrats avoid him for fear of being “branded a Biden Democrat,” said Republican National Committee spokesman Nathan Brand. “Biden can’t step foot in a swing district without reminding voters of the inflation Democrats caused, surging crime, and high gas prices.”
Democrats face particularly stiff headwinds in the midterms from persistently high inflation and an economic outlook that grows more gloomy by the day.
The Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in September after rising by 0.1% in August, exceeding expectations and showing that inflation remains a stubborn problem in the final monthly report before the midterm elections.
The annual inflation rate of 8.2% was down slightly from 8.3% in the previous month, though it remains a historic burden on consumers. Inflation reached a 41-year high of 9.1% in June.
Mr. Biden has pointed to the $740 billion tax-and-spending law he signed over the summer as the way out of choppy economic waters. Democrats say the law will eventually restrain inflationary pressures.
Critics pan the measure as more government spending that will add to inflation rather than reduce it. They also point to other forms of spending under the administration, such as Mr. Biden‘s plan to write off billions in student loan debt, as compounding the problem.
Mr. Biden’s message on the economy has fallen flat with voters. A recent NBC News poll showed that 71% of voters believe the nation is on the wrong track, and 57% disapprove of the president’s handling of the economy.
During recent rallies, Mr. Obama acknowledged the impact of inflation and rising crime but said there are bigger issues at play, returning to his party’s talking point that the election is a battle for democracy.
“There may be a lot of issues at stake in this election,” Mr. Obama said in Georgia. “But the basic question, fundamental question that you should be asking yourself right now is, who will fight for you? Who cares about you, who sees you, who believes in you? That’s the choice in this election.”
“Democracy is not self-executing,” he said. “It depends on us working, nurturing, caring for it not just on Election Day, but every day in between. It depends on us as citizens saying, ‘This matters!’ This election matters, Georgia.”
“Democrats don’t seem to yet understand is not only is Biden unpopular, but they’re talking about the wrong issues,” he said. “This is the ‘my money, my family’ midterm election. Democrats aren’t even really talking about those issues.”